Friday at 2pm is an awful time to make up the Subway Series game.
Rangers Can’t Win
Texas Rangers are 1-5 all-time at Shea Stadium. Of course, they’ve never played the Mets. The Yankees ripped them apart back in 1975 when they played at Shea. The only certainty about this weekend is that the Rangers won’t ever have a winning record at Shea Stadium. This isn’t an absolute however, but it’s unlike the Rangers will visit Shea in the World Series.
I ‘have’ to go to the game tomorrow. I’m looking more forward to getting my Nathan’s Shea replica than the game though. It’s sad, but it’s a lose-lose situation for a while. They lose, it sucks. They win, okay fine, show me more. It is ultimately still kinda early, and the Phillies aren’t going to run away, but they need to get around to figuring out what type of team they want to be and how to play like winners.
What now?
or not.
E. T. Phone Home
Tonight reminded me of the movie E.T., when E.T. and Elliot are both in the hospital and seem to be linked. The link is broken and Elliot begins to recover, but E.T. doesn’t, being out of his element. So went tonight.
After eight innings of baseball, the Mets were deflated by Billy Wagner giving up the game tying home run, and Chase Utley drives in the tying run in the top of the 9thin Florida for the Phillies. Things seem as bad as they could be, but then that link is broken and the Phillies to whom first place is as alien as Earth was to E.T., will soon be back where they belong.
The Marlins storm right back and set the Phillies down with a walk off grand slam. The link has been broken and it takes a little time before the Mets recover, in the bottom of the 13th, with Beltran’s sixth walk off home run of his career. Beltran’s last walk off two run home run was against those very same Phillies back on May 23rd of 2006. This was a long time ago, back when players like Steve Trachsel were still on this team,but we’ve been looking for turning points all season and maybe all the symmetry associated with this win is what they truly needed.
There was energy, determination, fight, and all sorts of good qualities during this game. Don’t forget that Castillo was on base and Beltran at the plate because of a fielding error at third base, so the Mets were capitalizing on errors too. Beltran also had a key two-run single, on a clean line drive to center, earlier in this game to start the scoring. This hit also came after an error charged to Brandon Webb allowed Castillo to reach base after Reyes got the call from the ump on a close play at first. You take what breaks you can get and do the most with them.
Team chemistry? It’s something that’s not easy to tell from the outside, but teams that don’t like each other don’t pass out papers with formulas to make the playoffs. Do you think fans could stop getting on Carlos Beltran? The guy is great, I don’t know where we’d be without him. He had a little power outage, and he had a little bit of a struggle getting runners in from scoring position lately, but so did everyone. Beltran is as vitally important to this team right now as Wright and Reyes.
Wagner’s blown save may have been a punch to the stomach as Gary Cohen said, but Carlos Beltran coughed up the disappointing start to the season and booted it out of the ballpark in the 13th.
Aboard the Runaway Train
I don’t buy the argument that the Mets are .500 over the last 162. It’s a misleading statistic. This team has rarely played .500 baseball. It’s played better and it’s played worse. Talent wise we all know they should be better. Anyone that tells you otherwise is either disappointed, or a Mets hater.
The biggest, and main reason for their failures has been their inconsistant hitting. They often fail to do the situational stuff, like get guys in from third, or get a big hit with runners on. They’re doing better at scratching and clawing and adding on than last year, but often they only do this, failing to have the big 5-6 run innings. Some of this can be attributed to lack of power, notably the decline of Carlos Delgado, who’s actually hit the ball well lately. However, as Keith would tell you, they didn’t always used to look for the damn 3-run home run. Could this be all the problem is? Rather then trying to simply bloop one or make solid contact up the middle, everyone’s trying to drive the ball high and far? Could someone please tell the Mets that a ground ball often scores the run as easily as the sac-fly, so stop worrying about driving the ball or long home runs and just get a hit. Maybe more guys could score from second and go first to third if every hit didn’t look like it could be caught causing them to have to hang back.
I’ll even give the Padres two of these games. Wagner is going to have the occasional blip, so maybe you give them Sunday. And the offense isn’t always going to be on, maybe an opposing pitcher actually pitches well, and maybe the Padres can take one of those other three. Still, the Mets should’ve been able to take those other two, and they have no excuses. They’re backing themselves against a wall for no reason.
100 games left. You could project numbers, guess or estimate what everyone is going to do. And you’d be wrong 95% of the time. The Mets are capable of winning anywhere from 45-70 of the remaining games. The Phillies are capable of losing anywhere from 40-60 games. Looking at the big picture is what got them into trouble last year. I say they look at being in position to take the division back from the Phillies by their next meeting in early July. That is 22 games prior to a four game series. Probably 23 games if you factor in the Yankee makeup. There is no reason why they can’t play one game better than the Phillies every week, and be in a competitive place by July.
Who knows where they’re going to go, how they’re going to play, or if the Phillies are going to keep this pace. It’s up to the Mets, and the most infuriating part of it all is that we could be on a train ride headed for a wreck with no way to get off.
Oh, and could they go ahead and announce the Yankee makeup date already? If they’r really planning on doing it in two and a half weeks, it’d be nice to know. Especially if they make it at an iffy time like Friday afternoon.
DVD Review, Six Essential Games at Shea Stadium
I recently had the pleasure to view A&E‘s DVD, The New York Mets: Essential Games of Shea Stadium. I was surprised at how easily I was able to just slip back into the past and enjoy some of these games.
This DVD set contains six of the arguably greatest games played by the New York Mets. Most of these games we all know about, may have seen live, or recently replayed on SNY, but it was nice to see them without commercials. It’s nice to be able to just pop in a DVD and connect with all the emotions and excitement associated with all of these great games, especially after the disaster that was this west coast trip. I don’t know that I would call these the six most essential games, but they are certainly six big ones. Arguably this DVD set isn’t complete without at least a clip of Ventura’s Grand Single, but the rest of the content certainly makes up for it’s absense.
The 6th disc also contains a bunch of special features. Endy’s catch is obviously on there, because it’s everywhere, and might be the only clip from a losing game. Other fun ones to see, some of which I’d never seen before, include the ’86 division clincher against the Cubs, and Gary Carter’s game winning opening day home run in 1985. They had Todd Pratt’s home run in 1999, and also the 2000 clincher against the Cardinals. 
One of the fun clips to watch was a montage of 2006 walk off hits. It brought back all sorts of exciting moments, and reminded me how the 2006 Mets used to beat up the guy who got the walk off hit, pounded on his helmet and really getting into it. After the Mets clinched the Pennant in 2000, they showed a guy in the left field loge holding up a sign that said “Bring on the Yankees!” I couldn’t help but yell at him from eight years in the future to shut up and root for the Mariners.
Frustrations.
Frustrating.
Something just hasn’t been right with this team on the West Coast. Maybe it’s all the travel, which would be a poor excuse, or maybe it’s something else. This failure to get runners in is the biggest frustration of them all. You’d almost excuse a small offensive blip, especially in San Diego, but the way they’re getting the hits and the runners and just not getting them in sucks. Some of it’s just poor execution, and some of it even seems luck and good defense, like Hairston’s great catch on David Wright’s hit the other night.
Time to turn the page, get energized by Pedro and take the final game of the series. Then use the off day to recover from jet lag, and beat the tar out of the Diamondbacks and Rangers.
Projected Stats
Some projected stats after 55games, just over a third of the season. (Prior to the San Francisco Road Trip)
Pitching projects are approximate since it depends on where they fall in the rotation and days off and all that.(Santana won’t end up with 35 starts.) I included total pitches thrown and pitches per game. which are very arbritrary and meaningless. I couldn’t find Inherited Runners Scored for Smith, but i’ll look more carefully when i next to projections.
I intend to project some of the Phillies players too, and match them up a little bit, but I don’t have time for that now, so later in the week.
Projections
Reyes, 106R, 189H, 15T, 21HR, 74rbi, 68BB, 53SB .284avg/.347obp/.480slg
Wright, 109R, 186H, 50D, 32HR, 124rbi, 106BB, 24SB, .293/.395/.535
Beltran, 115R, 156R, 44D, 18HR, 100rbi, 106BB, 21SB, .264/.372/.458
Delgado, 130H, 24HR, 68BB, 21D, .224/.306/.383
(47g)Church, 103R, 159H, 24D, 29HR, 100RBI .320/.384/.556
(44g) Castillo, 80R, 127H, 9HR, 27SB, .265/.374/.364
(36g) Schneider, 94H, 44rbi, 27R, .258/.326/.323
Santana 21-9, 35G, 3.20, 209K, 59BB, 239IP, 230H, 3696p, 106(p/g)
Maine 15-12, 32G, 3.66, 189IP, 159H, 159K, 88BB, 3387p, 106(p/g)
Perez 12-9 32G, 4.83, 174IP, 147H, 147K, 121BB, 98(p/g)
Pelfrey 6-18, 29G, 4.98, 165IP, 206H, 85K, 74BB, 2981p, 103(p/g)
Wagner .039, 68IP, 32S, 41H, 82K, 12BB,
Smith 2.95, 62IP, 44H, 62K, 24BB,