Mets vs. Braves: Important, but not THAT Important

Huge three game series for the Mets coming up here, but most of it’s about perception and confidence.  No three games in July ever decide anything, but winning and losing this series is the difference between being within striking distance of the division lead going into the break, and being clearly the second-best team.

If the Mets win this series they will be respected throughout the league as contenders.  They’ll be brought up in all trade talks for big acquisitions.  When analysts adjust their season predictions, the Mets will make it onto a lot of their lists.  David Wright will again be recognized as one of the best players in the game, people will stop taking as many pot shots at the Mets, their minor league system, their medical staff and their decision making.

If they lose and fall four or more games back from the division lead things won’t be as rosy during the break.  Analysts will find a way to justify their decision in the winter that the Mets have too many holes to make the playoffs.  They’ll talk up Bobby Cox, they’ll talk about the Phillies having a good second half.  Jose Reyes will be described as injury prone.  Carlos Beltran will be portrayed as an 80 year old grandma that can’t walk, much less play CF.  They’ll question Jerry Manuel and Omar Minaya and their ability to do their job.

All off the results of one series.  If a sweep happens either way, the reactions will be even more extreme.

The series is really not that big a deal.  It’s an important series to try to win and not let the Braves get too far ahead, but even if they’re four games out going into the break, that’s hardly insurmountable given how many games they still play against each other.    Still, it’s a chance for the Mets to put the first half to rest on a positive note, take a deep breath, and soar into the second half with the addition of Carlos Beltran.

If you’re headed out to Citi Field for any of these games, the Mets are having a fan appreciation weekend.  They’re doing a lot of seat upgrades, signed giveaways, and handing out gift cards.  On Sunday 25 lucky fans will receive game-worn jerseys.  Enjoy!

Winning on the Road

All analysts and radio hosts wanted to do on Wednesday and Thursday is discuss the Mets upcoming road trip, how it was a ‘tough trip’, and try to break it down. I heard plenty of “You’d sign for 5-5”. I heard some guys, like Michael Kay, say you’d be happy with 4-6. Good teams should never accept a less than positive outcome, and it looks like the Mets both agree, and are a good team.

You have to play to win, and you have to try to win every series. That would have been 7-3. Maybe you drop a game here or there, on this ‘tough trip’, and go 6-4. That’s still winning baseball, and the Mets are off to that good start. They won the first series, against the weaker team, and are 3-1 on the road trip. You’d have to be crazy to accept 2-4 the rest of the way. Despite having issues, injuries, bad managing, and mistakes in the field, the Mets have been winning more often than losing lately. There is no reason to think they can’t beat the Dodgers. If this is truly a team that can, and it can, win a championship then they can beat anyone. This includes the Red Sox, who are arguably the best team in baseball and may very well be getting Kevin Youkilis back for the series against the Mets.

You don’t like how that last game went in San Francisco, but you’ll take the series. They haven’t played well in the park overall and they almost swept. Let’s see how they do against the Mannyless Dodgers, and then the Red Sox. If you’re into scoreboard watching in May, the Phillies are playing the Reds who have been looking good, and then the Yankees who are suddenly managing to win games. I’m scared for the most home runs in one game record with those two teams playing in that small park, with the crappiness of the pitching involved. There may be more home runs than singles. The Braves play the Rockies and the Blue Jays.